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NATO official says Russia faces breaking point due to losses in Ukraine

In a recent training exercise, a Ukrainian soldier successfully fired a third-generation Javelin man-portable anti-tank missile system as part of a program aimed at enhancing the skills of anti-tank guided missile (ATGM) operators from Ukraine's 65th Separate Mechanised Brigade. This exercise, which took place on January 7, 2026, involved both theoretical instruction and simulator practice to prepare soldiers for real-world applications.

Amidst ongoing conflict in Ukraine, NATO Secretary General Mark Rutte provided an alarming assessment of Russian military casualties, estimating that Moscow is experiencing losses of 20,000 to 25,000 soldiers each month. This figure, clarified to reflect fatalities rather than serious injuries, has raised concerns regarding the sustainability of Russia's military efforts. Rutte compared these losses to the Soviet Union's invasion of Afghanistan, noting that the current casualty rate is significantly higher.

While Russia has not disclosed official casualty statistics, estimates from Western intelligence sources indicate that over 1.2 million Russian soldiers may have been killed or wounded since the start of the full-scale invasion nearly four years ago. The casualty rate has reportedly increased, with around 1,100 soldiers killed or injured daily in recent months, particularly as Russian forces engage in protracted battles for strategic locations such as the city of Pokrovsk in eastern Ukraine.

In response to these losses, Russia has sought to recruit new personnel through informal networks and financial incentives, avoiding large-scale mobilization due to potential political repercussions. Meanwhile, Ukraine faces its own challenges, with estimated casualties of around 400,000, complicating its efforts to maintain troop strength amid increasingly lethal battlefield conditions exacerbated by the widespread use of drones.

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