A recent poll conducted by The New York Times/Siena College shows Vice President Kamala Harris leading former President Donald Trump in the key battleground states of Michigan, Wisconsin, and Pennsylvania. Among likely voters, Harris is ahead of Trump by a margin of 50% to 46%, although these leads fall within the poll's margins of error. The survey was conducted over several days in each state, polling a total of 619 registered voters in Michigan, 661 in Wisconsin, and 693 in Pennsylvania.
When looking at all registered voter respondents, Harris maintains a lead in Wisconsin and Pennsylvania, but falls behind Trump by three points in Michigan. This shift in polling comes after President Joe Biden dropped out of the race in July and endorsed Harris as the Democratic presidential nominee. Since then, Harris has made up lost ground for the Democratic ticket and has even overtaken Trump in some cases.
Despite Trump's campaign claiming that the poll understates his support among voters, Harris continues to gain momentum in terms of donations, volunteer sign-ups, and rally attendance. The economy remains a top voter issue, with Trump holding a nine-point lead over Harris in terms of handling the economy.
Harris' running mate, Minnesota Gov. Tim Walz, has also gained attention for his plainspoken demeanor and Midwest background. Some Democrats see his selection as an opportunity to expand the party's coalition. Walz has a 36% favorability rating among registered voters, similar to Trump's running mate, Ohio Sen. JD Vance.
With 87 days until the election, Harris continues to work to translate enthusiasm and momentum into votes at the ballot box. At a recent rally in Philadelphia, Harris acknowledged being the underdog in the race but expressed confidence in the campaign's momentum moving forward.